Just go have some fucking fun! Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Are they gross exaggerations? The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. xx, Lets be social! Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Yet here we are. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Are You a Miracle? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Something was dropped and then picked up. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Why? I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! One in 2,000. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Thats going to take a LONG time. Onward to freedom! was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Step 1. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Same to all of us. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Want to Read. Step 1. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Its maddening to see people worry so much. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Think of yourself as dead. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Maybe that one would have been better. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. But on all probability it would. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Wowser. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Are they gross exaggerations? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? You can start the series by clicking HERE. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Those who are brave (foolish?) So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. They agree to within a factor of two! But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. So what's the probability of your being born? The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? But lets make it longer. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. You get the volume of planet Earth. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That's 150,000 generations. The chances that they would then get knocked up? By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. On one try. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. But let's think about this some more. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years.
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